UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Cal State Nort
  
Cal State Northridge  
W-L: ( 3- 6) PR = 88.7330

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 1-13 207 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 1-10 207 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 6-24 219 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 7- 2 220 A Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 1- 8 227 H San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 3- 1 228 H Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 2-10 331 A California Baptist WAC (37-19, 93.2) 3- 4 416 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 6- 3

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Ole Miss                1-13     -12    -6    ---   -6.18
   207 H Ole Miss                1-10      -9    -6    -     -3.18
   207 H Boise State             6-24     -18    -3    ---  -11.04
   219 H BYU                     7- 2       5    -2    +++    6.95
   220 A Utah                    1- 8      -7    -7           0.33
   227 H San Diego State         3- 1       2    -3    ++     4.78
   228 H Washington              2-10      -8    -7          -0.73
   331 A California Baptist      3- 4      -1    -5    ++     4.22
   416 H California              6- 3       3    -2    ++     4.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Ole Miss                1-13     -12    -6    ---   -6.18
   207 H Boise State             6-24     -18    -3    ---  -11.04
   207 H Ole Miss                1-10      -9    -6    -     -3.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H BYU                     7- 2       5    -2    +++    6.95
   227 H San Diego State         3- 1       2    -3    ++     4.78
   331 A California Baptist      3- 4      -1    -5    ++     4.22
   416 H California              6- 3       3    -2    ++     4.86

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Ole Miss        (35-26, 95.3)     1-13       -4.60      14.77      -0.74         2.80            -7.48
   3 H Ole Miss        (35-26, 95.3)     1-10       -4.60      14.77      -0.74         2.80            -7.48
   3 H Boise State     (26-30, 92.4)     6-24       -7.47      11.90      -0.74         2.80           -11.50
   3 H BYU             (19-29, 91.4)     7- 2       -8.48      10.89      -0.74         2.80            56.86
   3 A Utah            (36-19, 95.3)     1- 8       -4.58      14.79       0.74         2.80            -5.38
   3 H San Diego Stat  (25-23, 92.3)     3- 1       -7.65      11.72      -0.74         2.80            61.49
   3 H Washington      (36-18, 96.7)     2-10       -3.16      16.21      -0.74         2.80            -5.46
   3 A California Bap  (37-19, 93.2)     3- 4       -6.69      12.68       0.74         2.80            -8.33
   3 H California      (17-34, 91.3)     6- 3       -8.57      10.80      -0.74         2.80            56.34
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       129.07

winning pts = 174.6898 losing points = -45.6234

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------